So let's start with the Jackson Hole speech that Yellen delivered on Friday. She was more optimistic about the labor market and inflation which will reach 2%. But did not say anything about monetary
policy and investor took this to dump the dollar
and usdjpy sunk to 109.10 but recovered
some losses and closed on 109.35 and we still think before breaking up higher
there is some short-covering and we will see 109 before 110.
For the Euro market
is totally bullish and Draghi does
not care about higher currency and the next week we can see 1.2000 before some
correction in euro which is up almost 14%.
Sterling is
facing Brexit fears and negotiations
can be delayed further 2 months and will
start in December because Germany holds
elections in September but Angela Merkel
is widely expected to win. Currency is under pressure and will remain under pressure
according to our view.
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